EFFECT OF EXTERNAL INTERVENTION ON THE CONFLICT BETWEEN FEDERAL GOVERNMENT OF ETHIOPIA AND TPLF IN NORTHERN ETHIOPIA (2020-2022)

Abstract

The main aim of this study was to explore the effects of external intervention on the course of the northern Ethiopia conflict. After the war started on November 4, 2020, various external actors participated directly or indirectly through diplomatic and military way. The finding of the research showed that the motives or interest of the intervened actors in the Ethiopia conflict waste safeguard their and their allies’ national interest on the HOA and Ethiopia. In order to achieve this interest, some of them supported TPLF and others supported the federal government of Ethiopia directly as well as indirectly. They used the strategies providing modern military equipment’s such as drone, and satellite communication materials. Also, they used humanitarian organization and aid workers, and international media Journalists as a tool to reach their biased warring parties. Generally, both the military and diplomatic role and the interest of these actors lead to prolong the duration and the intensity (level) of the northern Ethiopian conflict toned as well as it changed military outcome and the type of warfare from convectional toguerilla, and vise verse. The intervened actors in peace process and to end ceasefire were notaligning with the assumed outcome. Therefore, it is better to solving internal conflict throug hinternal conflict resolving mechanisms. The study employed a qualitative approach. Therefore, an exploratory designed is used. Semi structure interview and document reviewed are used to collect data for primary and secondary source respectively. Cross-case, key event, and chronological order analysis strategy are used to analyze the collected data.